Sha Tin · 2024-06-23 · 19:38
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | MUGEN Closed strongly 1.21.77 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 3 | 3.1 | N |
| 2 | 1 | CALIFORNIA SPANGLE Led early TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 6 | 2.4 | N |
| 3 | 4 | FLYING ACE Closed strongly B A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 2 | 5.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | PACKING TREADMILL SR L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 1 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | TAJ DRAGON A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 5 | 6.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | TELECOM FIGHTERS CP1 B Thompson · Y S Tsui | B Thompson | Y S Tsui | 4 | 51.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | HEALTHY HAPPY V/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 7 | 34.0 | 9 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2024-06-23 was Group 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. MUGEN, ridden by K Teetan and trained by P C Ng, won by N, with CALIFORNIA SPANGLE second and FLYING ACE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.4 favourite CALIFORNIA SPANGLE finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | MUGEN | 25.1% | 3.98 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | FLYING ACE | 21.4% | 4.67 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | CALIFORNIA SPANGLE | 17.7% | 5.64 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | PACKING TREADMILL | 16.9% | 5.92 | 4 |
| 5 | 2 | TAJ DRAGON | 11.0% | 9.13 | 5 |
| 6 | 7 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 4.3% | 23.07 | 6 |
| 7 | 3 | HEALTHY HAPPY | 3.6% | 27.94 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 31
PLACE
1 12
4 16
5 13
QUINELLA
1,5 40.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 28
1,5 18.5
4,5 24.5
FORECAST
5,1 94
TIERCE
5,1,4 279
TRIO
1,4,5 67
FIRST 4
1,4,5,6 95
QUARTET
5,1,4,6 1,139
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
6/1 49
6/5 438.5