Sha Tin · 2024-06-23 · 16:31
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | TALENTS AMBITION Closed strongly B/XB 1.39.11 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · M Newnham | H Bentley | M Newnham | 9 | 4.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 4 | PERFECT TEAM Closed strongly H/P/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 2 | 3.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | BERLIN TANGO Closed strongly B/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 5 | 5.7 | 3 |
| 4 | 8 | SURUGA BAY Led early V/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 1 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | APACHE PASS Closed strongly BO/XB H Bowman · P C Ng | H Bowman | P C Ng | 8 | 6.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | ALACRITY V-/PC2/TT C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 6 | 14.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 7 | SO WE JOY H/TT A Atzeni · C W Chang | A Atzeni | C W Chang | 4 | 14.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | SUPER WIN DRAGON V/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 3 | 7.9 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | TOY SOLTERO SR B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 7 | 70.0 | 11-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2024-06-23 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. TALENTS AMBITION, ridden by H Bentley and trained by M Newnham, won by 1-3/4, with PERFECT TEAM second and BERLIN TANGO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite PERFECT TEAM finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | PERFECT TEAM | 40.5% | 2.47 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | BERLIN TANGO | 11.2% | 8.94 | 3 |
| 3 | 7 | SO WE JOY | 9.2% | 10.90 | 7 |
| 4 | 9 | TALENTS AMBITION | 8.7% | 11.43 | 1 |
| 5 | 5 | SUPER WIN DRAGON | 8.2% | 12.26 | 8 |
| 6 | 2 | APACHE PASS | 8.1% | 12.31 | 5 |
| 7 | 3 | ALACRITY | 7.5% | 13.42 | 6 |
| 8 | 8 | SURUGA BAY | 5.7% | 17.53 | 4 |
| 9 | 6 | TOY SOLTERO | 1.0% | 103.36 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 44.5
PLACE
1 19.5
4 13
9 19
QUINELLA
4,9 93
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 32.5
1,9 54
4,9 38
FORECAST
9,4 191
TIERCE
9,4,1 590
TRIO
1,4,9 122
FIRST 4
1,4,8,9 274
QUARTET
9,4,1,8 4,521
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
11/4 24
11/9 146.5