Sha Tin · 2024-06-23 · 21:22
Race 11
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | RUBYLOT Closed strongly 1.21.86 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 11 | 3.1 | HD |
| 2 | 4 | BEAUTY CRESCENT Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 4 | 7.6 | HD |
| 3 | 7 | HUGE WAVE Closed strongly TT A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 10 | 21.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | STELLAR EXPRESS Led early H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 6 | 5.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | SUPERB KID Closed strongly B-/CP2 H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 1 | 16.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | LOST CHILD Closed strongly B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 8 | 14.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | JOLLY RULER CP/TT A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 9 | 18.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 1 | TOP GUN K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 2 | 8.5 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | TOURBILLON PRINCE TT Y L Chung · T P Yung | Y L Chung | T P Yung | 7 | 46.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 14 | THRIVING BROTHERS L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 5 | 10.0 | 10 |
| 11 | 11 | HARMONY GALAXY TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 13 | 57.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 2 | GALAXY WITNESS B-/V1/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 3 | 14.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 13 | 8 | BEAUTY GLORY CP/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 12 | 38.0 | 12 |
| 14 | 13 | ACE VICTORY H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 14 | 142.0 | 16-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 11 at Sha Tin on 2024-06-23 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. RUBYLOT, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D A Hayes, won by HD, with BEAUTY CRESCENT second and HUGE WAVE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.1 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | RUBYLOT | 18.6% | 5.38 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | TOP GUN | 17.1% | 5.85 | 8 |
| 3 | 6 | STELLAR EXPRESS | 14.2% | 7.03 | 4 |
| 4 | 4 | BEAUTY CRESCENT | 8.0% | 12.43 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | SUPERB KID | 6.7% | 14.84 | 5 |
| 6 | 2 | GALAXY WITNESS | 6.1% | 16.37 | 12 |
| 7 | 12 | LOST CHILD | 5.9% | 16.89 | 6 |
| 8 | 5 | TOURBILLON PRINCE | 5.8% | 17.33 | 9 |
| 9 | 10 | JOLLY RULER | 5.2% | 19.18 | 7 |
| 10 | 8 | BEAUTY GLORY | 4.4% | 22.83 | 13 |
| 11 | 14 | THRIVING BROTHERS | 3.4% | 29.44 | 10 |
| 12 | 7 | HUGE WAVE | 3.0% | 33.59 | 3 |
| 13 | 11 | HARMONY GALAXY | 0.9% | 116.01 | 11 |
| 14 | 13 | ACE VICTORY | 0.7% | 146.51 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 31
PLACE
4 20
7 64
9 15
QUINELLA
4,9 135.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 248.5
4,9 57
7,9 115
FORECAST
9,4 221
TIERCE
9,4,7 3,624
TRIO
4,7,9 798
FIRST 4
4,6,7,9 941
QUARTET
9,4,7,6 17,981
All pools (4 more)
10TH DOUBLE
1/4 137.5
1/9 606
2ND TREBLE
2/1/4 686
2/1/9 1,720
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,8>5,12/4,7,9 16,934
SIX UP
6/6/5/2/1/9 148,744
6,12/6,8/1,5/1,2/1,5,12/4,9 480
1 [P C Ng] —
14 [Others] —