Sha Tin · 2024-06-23 · 17:31
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | JOY OF SPRING Closed strongly TT 1.48.02 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 13 | 2.9 | N |
| 2 | 9 | GOOD GOOD Led early B A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 6 | 10.0 | N |
| 3 | 5 | VOLCANIC SPARK Closed strongly B M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 1 | 8.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | SERANGOON Closed strongly CP/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 12 | 16.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | HAPPY HERO B L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 10 | 9.9 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | MISTER DAPPER CP-/XB/B1 M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 2 | 7.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | GALLANT HERO Closed strongly B1 B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 7 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 10 | FURY AND GOLD A Atzeni · C H Yip | A Atzeni | C H Yip | 4 | 43.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 14 | RUNNING AHEAD Closed strongly M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 9 | 48.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 8 | STARSHIP EIGHTY Closed strongly PC/TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 8 | 10.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 13 | PAKISTAN FRIEND P/TT Y L Chung · W Y So | Y L Chung | W Y So | 5 | 37.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 3 | KIMBERLEY PC-/B2/TT H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 11 | 15.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 13 | 11 | CIRCUIT NINE B/TT A Hamelin · W K Mo | A Hamelin | W K Mo | 3 | 29.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 14 | 2 | AFFORDABLE CP/TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 14 | 57.0 | 15-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2024-06-23 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. JOY OF SPRING, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C Fownes, won by N, with GOOD GOOD second and VOLCANIC SPARK third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.9 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | JOY OF SPRING | 19.1% | 5.25 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | VOLCANIC SPARK | 15.9% | 6.29 | 3 |
| 3 | 12 | HAPPY HERO | 9.3% | 10.80 | 5 |
| 4 | 7 | MISTER DAPPER | 8.4% | 11.86 | 6 |
| 5 | 8 | STARSHIP EIGHTY | 7.7% | 12.92 | 10 |
| 6 | 1 | SERANGOON | 7.1% | 14.00 | 4 |
| 7 | 3 | KIMBERLEY | 6.6% | 15.10 | 12 |
| 8 | 4 | GALLANT HERO | 5.9% | 16.91 | 7 |
| 9 | 11 | CIRCUIT NINE | 4.9% | 20.61 | 13 |
| 10 | 9 | GOOD GOOD | 4.5% | 22.45 | 2 |
| 11 | 13 | PAKISTAN FRIEND | 3.6% | 27.50 | 11 |
| 12 | 2 | AFFORDABLE | 3.0% | 33.06 | 14 |
| 13 | 14 | RUNNING AHEAD | 2.4% | 41.63 | 9 |
| 14 | 10 | FURY AND GOLD | 1.6% | 63.92 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 29.5
PLACE
5 26.5
6 15
9 36.5
QUINELLA
6,9 207
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 70
5,9 127
6,9 82.5
FORECAST
6,9 350
TIERCE
6,9,5 2,613
TRIO
5,6,9 568
FIRST 4
1,5,6,9 1,188
QUARTET
6,9,5,1 21,028
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
1/6 1,307
1/9 1,057