Sha Tin · 2024-06-23 · 10:34
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2024-06-23 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. TOP PEAK, ridden by C L Chau and trained by T P Yung, won by 3/4, with JUMBO FORTUNE second and BEAUTY ALLIANCE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite MASTER MASTERMIND finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | TOP PEAK Closed strongly TT 1.21.59 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 7 | 5.7 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 12 | JUMBO FORTUNE Closed strongly PC/XB M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 13 | 17.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 10 | BEAUTY ALLIANCE Closed strongly Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 8 | 21.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | MASTER MASTERMIND Closed strongly TT H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 3 | 3.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 14 | LUCKY PLANET B/TT M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 12 | 24.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | LET'S DO IT Closed strongly CP K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 6 | 21.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | LUCKY GOLD Closed strongly B L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 4 | 41.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | COMING PATCH Closed strongly A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 5 | 19.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 13 | SMART FIGHTER CP1/H1/TT B Avdulla · P F Yiu | B Avdulla | P F Yiu | 2 | 17.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 8 | KASA PAPA Closed strongly TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 9 | 17.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 11 | EVER SMART K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 14 | 93.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 9 | VANTASTIC CHOICE Led early Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 11 | 10.0 | 9 |
| 13 | 2 | SUNNY DA BEST TT A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 1 | 4.2 | 9-1/4 |
| 14 | 7 | AUTUMN DELIGHT TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 10 | 77.0 | 13-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | MASTER MASTERMIND | 15.9% | 6.28 | 4 |
| 2 | 10 | BEAUTY ALLIANCE | 12.6% | 7.97 | 3 |
| 3 | 2 | SUNNY DA BEST | 11.8% | 8.48 | 13 |
| 4 | 6 | TOP PEAK | 10.8% | 9.30 | 1 |
| 5 | 14 | LUCKY PLANET | 8.0% | 12.57 | 5 |
| 6 | 13 | SMART FIGHTER | 7.6% | 13.08 | 9 |
| 7 | 3 | LET'S DO IT | 7.3% | 13.77 | 6 |
| 8 | 9 | VANTASTIC CHOICE | 5.6% | 18.01 | 12 |
| 9 | 8 | KASA PAPA | 4.6% | 21.54 | 10 |
| 10 | 12 | JUMBO FORTUNE | 4.3% | 23.49 | 2 |
| 11 | 4 | LUCKY GOLD | 3.9% | 25.47 | 7 |
| 12 | 1 | COMING PATCH | 3.6% | 27.90 | 8 |
| 13 | 11 | EVER SMART | 2.6% | 39.12 | 11 |
| 14 | 7 | AUTUMN DELIGHT | 1.6% | 62.37 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 57.5
PLACE
6 19.5
10 58
12 57.5
QUINELLA
6,12 645
QUINELLA PLACE
6,10 190
6,12 210.5
10,12 494
FORECAST
6,12 1,014
TIERCE
6,12,10 14,055
TRIO
6,10,12 3,228
FIRST 4
5,6,10,12 3,238
QUARTET
6,12,10,5 89,811
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
5/6 1,928
5/12 569