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Sha Tin · 2024-06-23 · 18:33

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1400m Course A 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.59
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 TOP PEAK Closed strongly TT 1.21.59 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · T P Yung 7 5.7 3/4
2 12 JUMBO FORTUNE Closed strongly PC/XB M F Poon · P C Ng 13 17.0 3/4
3 10 BEAUTY ALLIANCE Closed strongly Z Purton · J Size 8 21.0 1
4 5 MASTER MASTERMIND Closed strongly TT H Bowman · D A Hayes 3 3.3 1-1/2
5 14 LUCKY PLANET B/TT M Chadwick · D J Whyte 12 24.0 2
6 3 LET'S DO IT Closed strongly CP K Teetan · D J Hall 6 21.0 3-1/4
7 4 LUCKY GOLD Closed strongly B L Hewitson · K W Lui 4 41.0 3-1/2
8 1 COMING PATCH Closed strongly A Hamelin · K H Ting 5 19.0 3-3/4
9 13 SMART FIGHTER CP1/H1/TT B Avdulla · P F Yiu 2 17.0 5
10 8 KASA PAPA Closed strongly TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz 9 17.0 6
11 11 EVER SMART K C Leung · F C Lor 14 93.0 7-1/2
12 9 VANTASTIC CHOICE Led early Y L Chung · C H Yip 11 10.0 9
13 2 SUNNY DA BEST TT A Atzeni · W Y So 1 4.2 9-1/4
14 7 AUTUMN DELIGHT TT C Y Ho · C Fownes 10 77.0 13-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2024-06-23 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. TOP PEAK, ridden by C L Chau and trained by T P Yung, won by 3/4, with JUMBO FORTUNE second and BEAUTY ALLIANCE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite MASTER MASTERMIND finished 4th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. TOP PEAK—2. JUMBO FORTUNE+0.75L3. BEAUTY ALLIANCE+1L4. MASTER MASTERMIND+1.5L5. LUCKY PLANET+2L6. LET'S DO IT+3.25L7. LUCKY GOLD+3.5L8. COMING PATCH+3.75L9. SMART FIGHTER+5L10. KASA PAPA+6L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick MASTER MASTERMIND (15.9%) finished 4th — the winner TOP PEAK was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 5 MASTER MASTERMIND 15.9% 6.28 4
2 10 BEAUTY ALLIANCE 12.6% 7.97 3
3 2 SUNNY DA BEST 11.8% 8.48 13
4 6 TOP PEAK 10.8% 9.30 1
5 14 LUCKY PLANET 8.0% 12.57 5
6 13 SMART FIGHTER 7.6% 13.08 9
7 3 LET'S DO IT 7.3% 13.77 6
8 9 VANTASTIC CHOICE 5.6% 18.01 12
9 8 KASA PAPA 4.6% 21.54 10
10 12 JUMBO FORTUNE 4.3% 23.49 2
11 4 LUCKY GOLD 3.9% 25.47 7
12 1 COMING PATCH 3.6% 27.90 8
13 11 EVER SMART 2.6% 39.12 11
14 7 AUTUMN DELIGHT 1.6% 62.37 14
MASTER MASTERMINDBEAUTY ALLIANCESUNNY DA BESTTOP PEAK — wonLUCKY PLANETSMART FIGHTERLET'S DO ITVANTASTIC CHOICEKASA PAPAJUMBO FORTUNELUCKY GOLDCOMING PATCHEVER SMARTAUTUMN DELIGHT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 57.5

PLACE

6 19.5

10 58

12 57.5

QUINELLA

6,12 645

QUINELLA PLACE

6,10 190

6,12 210.5

10,12 494

FORECAST

6,12 1,014

TIERCE

6,12,10 14,055

TRIO

6,10,12 3,228

FIRST 4

5,6,10,12 3,238

QUARTET

6,12,10,5 89,811

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

5/6 1,928

5/12 569