Sha Tin · 2024-06-23 · 09:02
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2024-06-23 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. YOUNG BRILLIANT, ridden by C L Chau and trained by C H Yip, won by SH, with G LINER second and LUCKY BANNER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.1 favourite BRAVE WITNESS finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | YOUNG BRILLIANT Closed strongly B2 1.38.73 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 9 | 34.0 | SH |
| 2 | 2 | G LINER Closed strongly H/P/XB/TT H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 5 | 8.3 | SH |
| 3 | 11 | LUCKY BANNER Led early H/TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 8 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | EXCEL WONGCHOY Closed strongly B-/H1/P1/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 2 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 14 | BRAVE WITNESS CP/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 1 | 2.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 13 | SUN OF MAKFI Closed strongly B/XB H Bentley · D J Hall | H Bentley | D J Hall | 6 | 21.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | FOREVER FOLKS Closed strongly B B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 7 | 15.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | VIVA HUNTER TT E C W Wong · K L Man | E C W Wong | K L Man | 4 | 8.5 | 5 |
| 9 | 4 | FLOOF Closed strongly CP/TT H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 12 | 93.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 7 | HAKKA RADIANCE P-/XB1/TT Y L Chung · W K Mo | Y L Chung | W K Mo | 11 | 32.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | MISSION BRAVO Closed strongly B L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 10 | 12.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 6 | SUNNY DARLING PC-/SR1/TT K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 3 | 34.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 5 | MIDORI BURLY B-/TT A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 13 | 51.0 | 8 |
| 14 | 10 | STRONGEST BOY B/TT A Atzeni · D A Hayes | A Atzeni | D A Hayes | 14 | 59.0 | 8-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | BRAVE WITNESS | 26.3% | 3.81 | 5 |
| 2 | 3 | VIVA HUNTER | 15.0% | 6.68 | 8 |
| 3 | 2 | G LINER | 10.2% | 9.76 | 2 |
| 4 | 11 | LUCKY BANNER | 8.8% | 11.35 | 3 |
| 5 | 13 | SUN OF MAKFI | 8.2% | 12.15 | 6 |
| 6 | 10 | STRONGEST BOY | 6.2% | 16.05 | 14 |
| 7 | 6 | SUNNY DARLING | 6.0% | 16.65 | 12 |
| 8 | 8 | MISSION BRAVO | 5.3% | 18.83 | 11 |
| 9 | 9 | EXCEL WONGCHOY | 3.6% | 27.84 | 4 |
| 10 | 12 | FOREVER FOLKS | 3.3% | 30.14 | 7 |
| 11 | 1 | YOUNG BRILLIANT | 2.4% | 41.77 | 1 |
| 12 | 7 | HAKKA RADIANCE | 2.1% | 46.52 | 10 |
| 13 | 5 | MIDORI BURLY | 1.8% | 55.95 | 13 |
| 14 | 4 | FLOOF | 0.7% | 142.30 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 348
PLACE
1 108
2 22.5
11 32
QUINELLA
1,2 2,046
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 581
1,11 618
2,11 147
FORECAST
1,2 3,965
TIERCE
1,2,11 50,930
TRIO
1,2,11 6,346
FIRST 4
1,2,9,11 15,600
QUARTET
1,2,11,9 526,895
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,9/1,2,11 103,577
2ND DOUBLE
9/1 1,154.5
9/2 72