Sha Tin · 2024-06-23 · 10:02
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2024-06-23 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. GREENWICH, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by P C Ng, won by 1, with STORMING DRAGON second and STEPS AHEAD third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.4 favourite STEPS AHEAD finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | GREENWICH Closed strongly TT 1.21.74 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 11 | 17.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | STORMING DRAGON Led early CP-/B1/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 8 | 4.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | STEPS AHEAD Closed strongly H Bowman · K W Lui | H Bowman | K W Lui | 5 | 2.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | ONLY U Closed strongly CP-/B2/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 2 | 34.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | AMAZING DUCK CP E C W Wong · K H Ting | E C W Wong | K H Ting | 6 | 4.9 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | GREAT SPIRIT Closed strongly B-/TT- M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 10 | 47.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | MEEPMEEP Closed strongly B/E1/TT B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 4 | 13.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 14 | GLUCK RACER Closed strongly H K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | 7 | 13.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | FOOLISH HEART Closed strongly V/TT Y L Chung · C W Chang | Y L Chung | C W Chang | 13 | 16.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | WINDICATOR FAMILY Closed strongly B A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 9 | 112.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | CIRCUIT MAXIMUS CP1/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 3 | 124.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 13 | GAMEPLAYER WARRIOR Closed strongly SR/XB/TT1 M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 14 | 211.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 13 | 9 | TRIPLE BLISS K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 1 | 159.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 14 | 3 | APOLAR FIGHTER B- H T Mo · P F Yiu | H T Mo | P F Yiu | 12 | 201.0 | 17 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | STORMING DRAGON | 26.2% | 3.82 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | STEPS AHEAD | 25.8% | 3.88 | 3 |
| 3 | 14 | GLUCK RACER | 10.6% | 9.45 | 8 |
| 4 | 1 | AMAZING DUCK | 9.9% | 10.14 | 5 |
| 5 | 7 | MEEPMEEP | 7.8% | 12.87 | 7 |
| 6 | 5 | GREENWICH | 4.3% | 23.25 | 1 |
| 7 | 2 | ONLY U | 3.9% | 25.58 | 4 |
| 8 | 6 | FOOLISH HEART | 3.5% | 28.78 | 9 |
| 9 | 10 | WINDICATOR FAMILY | 3.1% | 32.26 | 10 |
| 10 | 12 | GREAT SPIRIT | 2.9% | 34.81 | 6 |
| 11 | 11 | CIRCUIT MAXIMUS | 0.8% | 119.73 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | GAMEPLAYER WARRIOR | 0.5% | 189.84 | 12 |
| 13 | 3 | APOLAR FIGHTER | 0.4% | 240.56 | 14 |
| 14 | 9 | TRIPLE BLISS | 0.4% | 256.94 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 177
PLACE
4 11.5
5 38.5
8 15
QUINELLA
5,8 371
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 81
4,8 25
5,8 116
FORECAST
5,8 904
TIERCE
5,8,4 3,945
TRIO
4,5,8 391
FIRST 4
2,4,5,8 1,567
QUARTET
5,8,4,2 57,016
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
1/6/5 34,370
1/6/8 1,377
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
5,6,9/4,5,8 17,534
4TH DOUBLE
6/5 1,348.5
6/8 18