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Sha Tin · 2024-06-23 · 20:13

Race 9

Group 3 GOOD 1800m Course A 11 runners

Result

Official · 1.48.64
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 2 GALAXY PATCH Closed strongly 1.48.64 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · P C Ng 10 3.1 N
2 1 BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly TT H Bowman · A S Cruz 5 14.0 N
3 3 HAPPY TOGETHER Closed strongly H/TT A Badel · F C Lor 4 8.7 N
4 8 CHANCHENG GLORY B/XB H Bentley · K W Lui 6 3.0 1
5 10 C P BRAVE V M F Poon · P F Yiu 1 16.0 1-3/4
6 5 FIVE G PATCH Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz 9 8.9 2-3/4
7 11 THE BEST PEACH TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 3 11.0 3-3/4
8 7 SWORD POINT Led early CP K C Leung · F C Lor 8 29.0 3-3/4
9 6 LA CITY BLANCHE TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 7 27.0 4
10 9 ALL FOR ST PAUL'S B Y L Chung · F C Lor 2 87.0 6-3/4
11 4 NIMBLE NIMBUS V/TT A Atzeni · P F Yiu 11 24.0 7

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2024-06-23 was Group 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. GALAXY PATCH, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by P C Ng, won by N, with BEAUTY JOY second and HAPPY TOGETHER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite CHANCHENG GLORY finished 4th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GALAXY PATCH—2. BEAUTY JOY+0.05L3. HAPPY TOGETHER+0.05L4. CHANCHENG GLORY+1L5. C P BRAVE+1.75L6. FIVE G PATCH+2.75L7. THE BEST PEACH+3.75L8. SWORD POINT+3.75L9. LA CITY BLANCHE+4L10. ALL FOR ST PAUL'S+6.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick GALAXY PATCH (20.2%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 GALAXY PATCH 20.2% 4.96 1
2 8 CHANCHENG GLORY 18.6% 5.39 4
3 1 BEAUTY JOY 10.8% 9.30 2
4 3 HAPPY TOGETHER 9.8% 10.19 3
5 5 FIVE G PATCH 9.3% 10.77 6
6 10 C P BRAVE 8.1% 12.35 5
7 6 LA CITY BLANCHE 7.9% 12.63 9
8 4 NIMBLE NIMBUS 5.7% 17.55 11
9 11 THE BEST PEACH 4.6% 21.70 7
10 9 ALL FOR ST PAUL'S 3.5% 28.56 10
11 7 SWORD POINT 1.6% 62.48 8
GALAXY PATCH — wonCHANCHENG GLORYBEAUTY JOYHAPPY TOGETHERFIVE G PATCHC P BRAVELA CITY BLANCHENIMBLE NIMBUSTHE BEST PEACHALL FOR ST PAUL'SSWORD POINT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 31.5

PLACE

1 39

2 15

3 20.5

QUINELLA

1,2 258

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 86.5

1,3 178.5

2,3 47.5

FORECAST

2,1 359

TIERCE

2,1,3 2,122

TRIO

1,2,3 517

FIRST 4

1,2,3,8 273

QUARTET

2,1,3,8 6,291

All pools (2 more)

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

1,4,5/1,2,3 3,564

8TH DOUBLE

5/1 133.5

5/2 75