Sha Tin · 2024-06-23 · 12:13
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2024-06-23 was Group 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. GALAXY PATCH, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by P C Ng, won by N, with BEAUTY JOY second and HAPPY TOGETHER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite CHANCHENG GLORY finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | GALAXY PATCH Closed strongly 1.48.64 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 10 | 3.1 | N |
| 2 | 1 | BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 5 | 14.0 | N |
| 3 | 3 | HAPPY TOGETHER Closed strongly H/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 4 | 8.7 | N |
| 4 | 8 | CHANCHENG GLORY B/XB H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 6 | 3.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 10 | C P BRAVE V M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 1 | 16.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | FIVE G PATCH Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 9 | 8.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 11 | THE BEST PEACH TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 3 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | SWORD POINT Led early CP K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 8 | 29.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | LA CITY BLANCHE TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 7 | 27.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 9 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S B Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | 2 | 87.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | NIMBLE NIMBUS V/TT A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 11 | 24.0 | 7 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | GALAXY PATCH | 20.2% | 4.96 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | CHANCHENG GLORY | 18.6% | 5.39 | 4 |
| 3 | 1 | BEAUTY JOY | 10.8% | 9.30 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | HAPPY TOGETHER | 9.8% | 10.19 | 3 |
| 5 | 5 | FIVE G PATCH | 9.3% | 10.77 | 6 |
| 6 | 10 | C P BRAVE | 8.1% | 12.35 | 5 |
| 7 | 6 | LA CITY BLANCHE | 7.9% | 12.63 | 9 |
| 8 | 4 | NIMBLE NIMBUS | 5.7% | 17.55 | 11 |
| 9 | 11 | THE BEST PEACH | 4.6% | 21.70 | 7 |
| 10 | 9 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S | 3.5% | 28.56 | 10 |
| 11 | 7 | SWORD POINT | 1.6% | 62.48 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 31.5
PLACE
1 39
2 15
3 20.5
QUINELLA
1,2 258
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 86.5
1,3 178.5
2,3 47.5
FORECAST
2,1 359
TIERCE
2,1,3 2,122
TRIO
1,2,3 517
FIRST 4
1,2,3,8 273
QUARTET
2,1,3,8 6,291
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,5/1,2,3 3,564
8TH DOUBLE
5/1 133.5
5/2 75